The Black Swan, The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Description

Nassim Nicholas Taleb explores the profound effects of rare, unpredictable events—referred to as “black swans”—on our lives and the world at large. Taleb argues that traditional methods of forecasting and risk assessment often fail to account for these unpredictable occurrences, leading to disastrous consequences. Through a mix of personal anecdotes, philosophical insights, and rigorous analysis, he challenges readers to rethink their understanding of probability, risk, and uncertainty. This book is essential for economics students seeking to grasp the limitations of conventional wisdom and the importance of resilience and adaptability in an unpredictable world.

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